COVID-19 Update: Negative Case Growth in the US

State COVID-19 data for the states with negative case growth

The Instantaneous Rate of Change metric has given us the ability to understand in one number the state of the outbreak in a region regarding case growth and deaths. These are shown above with IROC in the header. This table is sorted by the states where the daily growth rate in cases has decreased the most over the last 3 days. I’d refer to this as “decelerating” rates. Fortunately, New York is finally at the top of a “good” list associated with this outbreak. Hopefully this will signify a long plateau in the rates. Note that in some regions (Singapore is a good example) an early plateau (celebrated widely) was followed by accelerating growth in cases. Perhaps NY will be different due to the extreme penetration of their society by COVID-19. Below is the individual NY time series charts for your perusal.

New York Confirmed Case data and curve fit – 5/7/2020
New York Death data and curve fit – 5/7/2020

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