I saw a chart a while back that predicted the cases/deaths by latitude. They plotted it over the world map and had colorbands describing COVID-19 potential risk. Something like that… But based on the amount of data we have, that’s a pretty wild, probably overfit, prediction.
Here’s what we DO know about cases by latitude. This chart shows total confirmed cases and deaths stacked on one bar (light blue+red) and current (yesterday) reported cases and deaths stacked on a second bar (green+dark orange).
Takeaway: Most of the cases have occurred between 30 and 60 degrees latitude. Around 40-45% of the world’s population does live in this belt, of course. But we have 92.5% of the cases in this range!
Any ideas why??