COVID-19 Update: 4/5/2020 State data update

State Data Table from 4/5/2020 – Death Slopes going linear for lots of States

It’s probably too early to project, because this could just be a temporary leveling-off. However, outside New York and Louisiana, most states Death Rates have been linear for 2-3 days (see dIROC deaths column). Zero is perfectly linear (the slope hasn’t changed in 3 days) but .001 is awfully close. Only New York is still an exponential curve at this moment in time. See some state charts below. And linear is good, because if the trend becomes linear, then the outbreak is very predictable and much more manageable.

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